Service Plays Wednesday 09/16/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA DUNKEL


Seattle at Los Angeles
The Sparks open the playoffs looking to take advantage of a Seattle team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against the Western Conference. Los Angeles is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Sparks favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-5). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 16

Game 601-602: Atlanta at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 114.250; Detroit 116.212
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 2; 169 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 3 1/2; 167
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+3 1/2); Over

Game 603-604: Seattle at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 109.726; Los Angeles 118.216
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 8 1/2; 132 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 5; 138
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-5); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA LONG SHEET


Wednesday, September 16


ATLANTA (18 - 16) at DETROIT (18 - 16) - 9/16/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
ATLANTA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest this season.
ATLANTA is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
ATLANTA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
ATLANTA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (20 - 14) at LOS ANGELES (18 - 16) - 9/16/2009, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) after a division game this season.
SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in August or September games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a division game this season.
LOS ANGELES is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 7-7 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 8-6 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[motor87]

Axiumsports

September 16th 2009

*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*

Current Bankroll=$1,208.50

Pick #2- MLB-
2)Bet 33.16 to win 34.15 on Arizona/San Diego OVER 8 +103

Pick #3-MLB-
3a)Bet 16.03 to win 16.03 on Kansas City/Detroit UNDER 10 +100

3b)Bet 69.64 to win 69.64 on Kansas City/Detroit UNDER 10 +100

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
322 - 219 run 60 %

WED Texas Rangers -160

 

[bookiemonster]

bookiemonsters

chc -170

19-10 +$1,342.00

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Brewers Tuesday night.

Today it's the Marlins. The surplus is 1,240 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo, formerly the world's coldest handicapper, started heating up last night when he connected with the Giants to lower the no-good, nasty number to 1,315 brocks.

Tonight, he hopes to avoid more bad times with the fourcast of Tim "Good Times" Bontemps, who suggests plays on the Angels, Cards, Diamondbacks and Brewers. Ten units apiece.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 16

NATIONAL LEAGUE


Colorado (82-64) at San Francisco (79-66)

The Giants hand the ball to All-Star Matt Cain (13-5, 2.61 ERA) as they go for a three-game series sweep of the suddenly slumping Rockies, who will turn to southpaw Jorge De La Rosa (14-9, 4.37) at AT&T Park.

San Francisco has hammered the Rockies the last two nights by scores of 9-1 and 10-2 and is now 2½ games behind Colorado in the wild-card race. The Giants have won three in a row after a four-game slide, and they’re on additional hot streaks of 36-17 at home, 45-20 as a home chalk, 6-1 on Wednesday and 9-3 against southpaw starters.

Colorado has followed up an eight-game winning streak with four straight losses – two in San Diego over the weekend and two in San Francisco. The Rockies are in additional funks of 1-7 on the road, 3-13 as an underdog (1-11 as a road pup) and 0-7 versus winning teams, but Jim Tracy’s squad is 4-1 in its last five on Wednesday and 44-20 in its last 64 versus right-handed starters.

The Giants hold a 10-7 lead in the season series against the Rockies, including six straight wins at home. In fact, the host has won eight straight and 10 of 11 in this rivalry.

De La Rosa has given up one earned run in each of his last three starts, going 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA during this stretch, with the Rockies winning all three games, including a 4-1 victory in San Diego on Friday. The Mexican native has given up two earned runs or fewer in eight of 11 outings since the All-Star break, going 8-2 with a 3.21 ERA. He’s 5-3 with a 3.84 ERA in 12 road starts, yielding three earned or fewer in 10 of those contests.

The Rockies are 15-3 in De La Rosa’s last 18 starts overall, 6-1 in his last seven on the road, 6-1 in his last seven versus N.L. West foes and 6-0 in his six career starts against the Giants. He’s 5-0 with a 3.35 ERA in nine career appearances (three relief) against San Francisco, including 2-0 with a 5.40 ERA in two games this year.

Cain is coming off Friday’s 10-3 home loss to the Dodgers in which he gave up four runs in six innings. It was the second time in his last three starts and the fourth time in his last eight that Cain allowed at least four runs in a game, and the right-hander is 1-3 with a 3.83 ERA in eight outings since the beginning of August.

Behind Cain, the Giants are on runs of 18-6 overall, 17-5 at home, 10-2 as a home chalk and 6-1 versus divisional rivals. After the loss to L.A. on Friday, he’s now 6-3 with a 2.74 ERA in 15 games at AT&T Park, and he’s 8-5 with a 3.16 ERA in 17 career starts against Colorado (2-1, 3.60 ERA in four games this season).

Colorado carries “under” trends of 6-3 overall, 7-4 on the highway, 8-5 versus N.L. West rivals, 7-0 on Wednesday and 5-1 against right-handed starters. However, the over is 7-2 in San Francisco’s last nine at home and 5-0 in its last five against the N.L. West, but otherwise it is on “under” streaks of 5-0 on Wednesday, 4-1 against lefty starters,11-5 overall when Cain pitches and 8-2 when Cain starts at home against Colorado.

Finally, the under is 6-3 in the last nine Rockies-Giants battles at AT&T Park, though the first two games of this series have flown over the posted price.


ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN FRANCISCO



AMERICAN LEAGUE

L.A. Angels (86-58) at Boston (85-58)

The Red Sox shoot for their sixth straight win when they send Paul Byrd (1-1, 6.08 ERA) to the Fenway Park mound to oppose the Angels and Joe Saunders (13-7, 4.81) in the middle game of a three-game series.

Daisuke Matsuzaka pitched by far his best game of the season Tuesday as Boston rolled to a 4-1 win in the series opener. The Red Sox are a perfect 6-0 on their current homestand, allowing a total of nine runs in the process (with five of those nine coming in one game) and they’ve built up a 5½-game lead on Texas in the wild-card race. Terry Francona’s club enters tonight on positive streaks of 50-19 at Fenway Park and 4-1 on Wednesday, but they’re still just 4-7 in their last 11 against A.L. West foes.

Los Angeles has now dropped two in a row and three of four after a four-game winning streak. The Angels are still on impressive runs of 57-29 overall, 27-14 on the road, 47-25 against the A.L. East (12-5 last 17), 6-3 versus right-handed starters and 4-1 on Wednesday.

The Angels still hold a 4-3 edge in the season series with Boston, and they’re 13-6 in the last 19 meetings overall (6-3 at Fenway).

Saunders has been brilliant since returning from a stint on the disabled list, going 4-0 with a 1.85 ERA in four outings, including a 7-1 rout of the White Sox on Friday in which he yielded just the one run on three hits in seven innings. The southpaw is 7-4 with a 5.38 ERA on the road this year, but 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA in his last two on the highway (10-0 win in Seattle; 7-2 win in Kansas City).

With Saunders on the bump, L.A. is on hot streaks of 41-18 overall, 4-0 on the road, 9-2 against the A.L. East, 7-1 all-time versus the Red Sox and 4-0 when he pitches in Beantown. The one loss to Boston came on April 11 when he gave up four runs in seven innings, with the Halos falling 5-4 at home. Saunders has won all three of his regular-season starts at Fenway Park (2.75 ERA).

Byrd has made three starts since joining the Red Sox on Aug. 30, and he followed up a horrendous outing at the White Sox on Sept. 4 (seven runs allowed in 2 1/3 innings) with a two-run, five-inning stint a week ago tonight against Baltimore, getting a no-decision in his team’s 7-5 victory. The veteran right-hander has allowed just those two runs over 11 innings in two games at Fenway (1.64 ERA).

Going back to last year, the Red Sox are on an 8-2 roll behind Byrd, going 4-1 in his last five at home. For his career, he’s 4-2 with a 4.94 ERA in nine career starts against the Angels.

L.A. is riding “under” streaks of 16-3-1 overall, 7-0 on the road and 12-1-1 against right-handed starters, but the over is 12-5-1 in the Halos’ last 18 against the A.L. East, 14-3 in Saunders’ last 17 starts overall, 7-1 in his last eight on the road and 15-5-1 in his last 21 against the A.L. East (3-1-1 versus the Red Sox. Also, the over is 16-8 in Boston’s last 24 at Fenway.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Ferrall

MLB FREE PICKS FOR WEDNESDAY
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )


Mets (Parnell)

ATLANTA (LOWE) -230 (1)


Pittsburgh (Hart)

DODGERS (KURODA) -280 (2)


ANGELS (SAUNDERS) EVEN (3)

Boston (Byrd)


Run Totals

Mets / Atlanta OVER 9

Angels / Boston OVER 10

White Sox / Seattle UNDER 8

Oakland / Texas UNDER 10 ½

Toronto / Yankees UNDER 10

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB DUNKEL

Tampa Bay at Baltimore
The Orioles look to take advantage of a Tampa Bay team that is 1-11 in its last 12 games as an underdog. Baltimore is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Orioles favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-110). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 16

Game 901-902: Florida at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Johnson) 14.537; St. Louis (Pineiro) 15.085
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-125); Under

Game 903-904: Pittsburgh at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Hart) 13.362; LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 15.946
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-290); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-290); Under

Game 905-906: Arizona at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Davis) 15.001; San Diego (Mujica) 15.287
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-115); Over

Game 907-908: Washington at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Hernandez) 15.095; Philadelphia (Blanton) 13.981
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-275); 10
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+245); Under

Game 909-910: NY Mets at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Parnell) 13.573; Atlanta (Lowe) 16.397
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 3; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-235); 9
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-235); Under

Game 911-912: Houston at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Bazardo) 15.134; Cincinnati (Lehr) 14.007
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+125); Over

Game 913-914: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Looper) 15.905; Cubs (Harden) 15.181
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-165); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+155); N/A

Game 915-916: Colorado at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 15.684; San Francisco (Cain) 15.417
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+125); Over


Game 917-918: Cleveland at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Laffey) 15.118; Minnesota (Blackburn) 14.773
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+140); Under

Game 919-920: Kansas City at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Dinardo) 14.888; Detroit (Bonine) 15.487
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-160); 10
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-160); Over

Game 921-922: Tampa Bay at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Sonnanstine) 14.352; Baltimore (Tillman) 15.524
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-110); 10
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-110); Over

Game 923-924: Toronto at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Tallet) 15.565; NY Yankees (Gaudin) 15.297
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 925-926: LA Angels at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Saunders) 16.529; Boston (Byrd) 15.918
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Boston (-110); 10
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+100); Over

Game 927-928: Oakland at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Cahill) 15.411; Texas (Nippert) 15.509
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 929-930: Chicago White Sox at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Floyd) 14.833; Seattle (Rowland-Smith) 15.970
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+105); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Cardinals
Brewers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

FantasySportsGametime



Wednesday MLB Plays


MLB Baseball

25* Play Florida (+115) over St. Louis (MLB PLAY)

Josh Johnson has won 9 of the last 10 day games and he has also won 7 of the last 8 games when pitching on a Wednesday. Josh Johnson has won 13 of the last 16 games when pitching as an underdog of +100 or higher and he is 14-4 in all starts this season with an ERA of 3.06.

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25* Play Detroit (-160) over Kansas City (MLB PLAY)

Kansas City has lost 15 of the last 22 games when playing on a Wednesday and they have also lost 22 of the last 34 games when playing as an underdog of +150 or higher. Detroit has won 10 of the last 12 games after having lost five or six of the last seven games and Eddie Bonine has won 3 consecutive home games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe wiz Bonus Plays

cardinals
mets/atl under
hou/cincy under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB Computer Picks

Atlanta Braves -230
Philadelphia Phillies -270
Cincinnati Reds -130

 

[ace911]

Bobby Maxwell

Wednesday's winner... 300-Unit A.L. Maxwell Smart Play of the Day - BALTIMORE ORIOLES

The Orioles came back from a 4-0 deficit after the top of the first inning on Tuesday and pounded the Rays 10-5, knocking out 16 hits. Even though they aren't lighting up the win column lately, I'm playing Baltimore at home in this one.

Why? Because the Rays have been a disaster, losing 14 of their last 17, including 10 of their last 11. This team basically packed it in after failing to gain ground on the Red Sox during that crucial series about two weeks ago.

No reason to believe they're going to come out of their funk tonight, having lost 10 of 11 as underdogs and going 17-35 in the third game of a series. Andy Sonnanstine is on the mound for the Rays and they are 0-4 in his last four roadies and 0-4 against A.L. East foes.

Chris Tillman (2-3, 4.91 ERA) is on the hill for the Orioles coming off two rough outings against the Rangers and Yankees. But prior to that he'd rattled off five straight starts of allowing three runs or less. He faced these Rays on Aug. 19 and gave up three runs in six innings but got no offensive support and lost 3-1.

Sonnanstine has been pummelled in his last 10 starts, and that includes missing more than two months of the season. He's had six starts in his last 10 where he's allowed four runs or more and eight of the 10 when he's given up three or more. The Rays have lost each of his last four roadies. He's already made two starts in Baltimore this season, allowing 12 runs in 6.2 innings and losing twice.

Feeling the Orioles tonight against the hapless Rays. Go with Baltimore.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Kelso
Highrollers Baseball

Wednesday, September 16, 2009
National League Game Of Week15 UnitsRockies {J.De La Rosa} (+120) over Giants {M.Cain}
10:15 PM -- AT&T Park
Colorado Rockies (82-64) +120 over SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (79-66) Pitching for Colorado: LH Jorge De La Rosa (14-9, 4.37) Pitching for San Francisco: RH Matt Cain (13-5, 2.61) Starting Time: 10:15 TV: ESPN, Comcast Sports Network San Francisco Bay Area
Mostly clear. Winds blowing out to center field at `0-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 60.

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

WUNDERDOG
Game: Seattle at Los Angeles (10:00 PM Eastern)Pick: Seattle +5.5 (-110) The Seattle Storm will open the WNBA Playoffs in Los Angeles. The Storm finished their second straight year with 20 wins or more. These teams are very close in terms of talent and on the season they definitely proved that. They met four times during the regular season with two of the games going into Overtime and a third ending in a two point win for the Sparks. I expect this one to be just like the regular season, a hard fought game between two teams that don't have a great deal in terms of separation in talent. My call is Seattle here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wunderdog Horse Selection

BELMONT PARK Race #1 at 1:00 PM Eastern

Top pick: #3 (LA CONCERTO) - Returns from a two month layoff from the Asmussen barn and with some nice works up at Saratoga. She's fired fresh in the past and has a rating gear. Good shot to "upset" the presumed favorite "Rightly So".​

<!--p-->

2nd pick: #6 (Rightly So) - Talented and lightly raced daughter of "Read the Footnotes" hasn't raced since early March when she was winning her 2nd in a row and doing so with ease. Working fast for her return and looks to be on edge.​

3rd pick: #2 (Gattinara) - Proven stalking ability and she comes into this off a good pace-pressing 3rd place finish at Saratoga at this level. Can rate just off the lead and make a late run.​

4th pick: #8 (Ouchy Night) - Has some talent and goes 2nd off a layoff. Not as quick early as the top two, she'll need to stalk while wide and make a move mid-way through the turn. Capable filly can hit the exotics.​

 

[saminsocal]

Dominic Fazzini Wednesday's play 10 Dime -- Brewers (Looper) over CUBS (Harden)

BREWERS
NOTE: List only Looper as Milwaukee's starting pitcher

Cubs starter Rich Harden (9-8, 4.04 ERA) has pitched well in the second half of the season, with a 2.39 ERA since the All-Star break.

The hard-throwing right-hander is as fragile as a ceramic vase, however, and rarely throws more than 100 pitches in his starts. And he strikes out and walks a lot of batters, so he usually is pulled by the sixth inning, which makes him unreliable.

In Harden's last start, against Cincinnati on Friday, he allowed just one run and two hits, but he was pulled after making 103 pitches in four innings because he struck out six and walked five.

Harden is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA in four career starts vs. Milwaukee. In his last start against the Brewers, on July 4, he gave up seven runs and eight hits in just two innings.

Milwaukee starter Braden Looper (12-6, 4.77) is trying to set a career high for wins today. The right-hander is 2-0 with a 3.52 ERA over his last five starts, and allowed three runs and eight hits in 5 2/3 innings Friday against Arizona.

Looper is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA in two outings vs. the Cubs this season, and allowed two runs and six hits in six innings in his last start against them, on July 4, when he beat Harden.

Looper is 4-6 with a 2.59 ERA in 42 career games (10 starts) against Chicago.

The Cubs have won seven of their last eight, but I love Milwaukee as an underdog today. Harden has really struggled at Wrigley Field this year, going 3-6 with a 5.99 ERA in 14 starts. Take the Brewers in this one.


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